Casino Games And Mathematics. Part 3.

After one more year Thorp published a book (I mentioned it at the beginning of the article) in which he rather in details, in the form comprehensible to any even a slightly literate and sensible person, set the rules of formation of a winning strategy. But the publication of the book did not only cause a quick growth of those willing to enrich themselves at the cost of gambling houses’ owners, as well as allowed the latter ones to understand the main reason of effectiveness of the developed by Thorp strategy.

First of all, casinos’ owners understood at last that it was necessary to introduce the following obligatory point into the rules of the game: cards are to be thoroughly shuffled after each game! If this rule is rigorously observed, then a winning strategy of Thorp cannot be applied, since the calculation of probabilities of extracting one or another card from a pack was based on the knowledge of the fact that some cards would already not appear in the game!

But what does it mean to have thoroughly shuffled” cards? Usually in gambling houses the process of thoroughly shuffling” presupposes the process when a croupier, one of the gamblers or, that is still oftener seen of late, a special automatic device makes a certain number of more or less monotonous movements with a pack (the number of which varies from 10 to 20-25, as a rule). Each of these movements changes the arrangement of cards in a pack. As mathematicians say, as a result of each movement with cards a kind of substitution” is made. But is it really so that as a result of such 10-25 movements a pack is thoroughly shuffled, and in particular, if there are 52 cards in a pack then a probability of the fact that, for instance, an upper card will appear to be a queen will be equal to 1/13? In other words, if we will, thus, for example, shuffle cards 130 times, then the quality of our shuffling will turn out to be more thorough” if the number of times of the queen’s appearance on top out of these 130 times will be closer to 10.

Strictly mathematically it is possible to prove that in case our movements appear to be exactly similar (monotonous) then such a method of shuffling cards is not satisfactory. At this it is still worse if the so called “order of substitution” is less, i.e. less is the number of these movements (substitutions) after which the cards are located in the same order they were from the start of a pack shuffling. In fact, if this number equals to t, then repeating exactly similar movements any number of times we, for all our wish, can not get more t different positioning of cards in a pack, or, using mathematical terms, not more t different combinations of cards.

Certainly, in reality, shuffling of cards does not come down to recurrence of the same movements. But even if we assume that a shuffling person (or an automatic device) makes casual movements at which there can appear with a certain probability all possible arrangements of cards in a pack at each single movement, the question of “quality” of such mixing turns out to be far from simple. This question is especially interesting from the practical point of view that the majority of notorious crooked gamblers achieve phenomenal success using the circumstance, that seemingly “careful shuffling” of cards actually is not such!

Mathematics helps to clear a situation with regard to this issue as well. In the work Gambling and Probability Theory” A.Reni presents mathematical calculations allowing him to draw the following practical conclusion: ” If all movements of a shuffling person are casual, so, basically, while shuffling a pack there can be any substitution of cards, and if the number of such movements is large enough, reasonably it is possible to consider a pack “carefully reshuffled”. Analyzing these words, it is possible to notice, that, firstly, the conclusion about “quality” of shuffling has an essentially likelihood character (“reasonably”), and, secondly, that the number of movements should be rather large (A.Reni prefers not to consider a question of what is understood as “rather a large number”). It is clear, however, that the necessary number at least a sequence higher than those 10-25 movements usually applied in a real game situation. Besides, it is not that simple “to test” movements of a shuffling person (let alone the automatic device) for “accidence”!

Summing it all up, let’s come back to a question which has been the headline of the article. Certainly, it would be reckless to think that knowledge of maths can help a gambler work out a winning strategy even in such an easy game like twenty-one. Thorp succeeded in doing it only by using imperfection (temporary!) of the then used rules. We can also point out that one shouldn’t expect that maths will be able to provide a gambler at least with a nonlosing strategy. But on the other hand, understanding of mathematical aspects connected with gambling games will undoubtedly help a gambler to avoid the most unprofitable situations, in particular, not to become a victim of fraud as it takes place with the problem of cards shuffling”, for example. Apart from that, an impossibility of creation of a winning strategy for all “cases” not in the least prevents a mathematically advanced” gambler to choose whenever possible the best” decision in each particular game situation and within the bounds allowed by “Dame Fortune” not only to enjoy the very process of the Game, as well as its result.

Information About Free Casino Slot

Most people believe that the slots are the worst bet there is in a casino. This is because earnings are not as high compared to other casino games. Some people say that this is the very reason why the slots are the favorite game of new casino players and women.nnBut this assumption is not true ? slots are not the worst bet, even when we are talking about free casino slot which can be played online. There are actually a lot of casino games which have higher house edge and lower payoffs.nnMost free casino slot machines have an average house advantage of 2% up to 15%. Looking at the reports coming from the Nevada Gaming Commission and online slots, the average is at around 8%. Now, here\’s a list of casino games and the corresponding average house advantage;nnBaccarat (tie bet): 14% Casino War (tie bet): 18% Craps (any):11% Sic Bo (depends on the bet): up to 33% Big Six: 11-24% Keno: 25-30%nnLooking from a purely mathematical point of view and ignoring player errors, we see that casinos have a higher advantage by offering the games above. Now, let\’s consider the way the games are being played and if a player is playing properly. Many games offer a low house advantage only if the game is being played properly. So if you love poker, you ought to know what kind of poker your favorite casino is offering. The better you are at a game, the higher your chances are of winning.nnThis is not true when it comes to free casino slots. Slots are so simple that the chance of making a mistake is so low. According to most \”Slots experts\” playing the maximum bet is a great idea since you will surely break even when you win – this is because no other game in a casino has a higher bet to win ratio than that of slots. Sure, you might not win every time you play free casino slot but you will always have a high chance of earning good money for a relatively low bet.nnNow let\’s talk about entertainment value – the very reason why gambling was invented in the first place. The penny slots you find at pubs and bars now have an online counterpart, and it also offers hours of entertainment – yes, this is true even if you have the smallest bankroll known to man. There are some free casino slot which offer bonuses and video slots have even more features that will keep you glued to the edge of your seats.nnSo, back to the question: are slots the worst bet in a casino? Well, if you want to get rich, then slots is certainly not the game for you. But if you are looking for entertainment and a way to earn a small amount of money, then slots are your perfect choice. Remember, however, that casino games are all games of chances. Don\’t go playing a free casino slot expecting to get a thousand dollars. Just try to relax and enjoy, who knows, you might just get a bonus.

A Closer Look At Positive Expectation

What do I mean when I refer to an over 100% machine?” An over 100% machine simply means a machine that pays back more than you put in. Fantastic, except for one thing: this is factored over a long period of time. It does not mean over 100% in every session.” In fact, an over 100% machine isn’t guaranteed to earn you a profit even over what most would consider a long period of time. And it’s certainly not graphed by a steady upward curve. The only sure thing I’ve ever found in casino gambling is streakiness, and video poker results can be as streaky as it gets.
Also, and this is a very important concept to grasp: whether or not you achieve that over 100% return depends on the number of royals you hit. A royal contributes approximately 1.7%-2% (depending on the game) to the total payback percentage, and you only hit a royal about once every 35,000- 45,000 handssome 80 hours of play. So during those other 79 hours, even if you’re playing a deuces wild machine with a 100.76% payback percentage and accruing .5% slot club cash back for your play, that 1.8% you lose for not hitting the royal pretty much wipes out your advantage during the periods in between the big jackpot. During these periods, you will most likely lose money (positive expectation is sweet, but it usually doesn’t come easily). That’s why it’s necessary to analyze situations in terms of what mathematicians call expected value” or expected return,” which assumes an infinite period of play.
Okay, with that groundwork laid, here are a couple of examples of positive expectation readily available in any number of casinos in Las Vegas at any given time.
Playing full-pay” deuces wild with computerperfect (optimal”) strategy, the return percentage is 100.76%. Another way to say this is: for every $100
you put into a full-pay deuces wild video poker machine, you’ll get back $100.76. It may look skinny,” but that’s a pretty good edge. Unfortunately, only a computer can play computer-perfect strategy. Humans make mistakes. They get tired of sitting and staring at a screen. They get a little fuzzy from the free drinks. The guys get distracted by short skirts on cocktail waitresses. I figure skilled human strategy on a full-pay deuces wild machine is more like 100.5%. In these examples, my numbers are based on that one-half-percentage-point advantage.
Playing 25 full-pay deuces, you’re making $1.25 bets (five quarters). If you play slowly (say 320 hands per hour), you’ll put about $400 through the deuces wild machine in 60 minutes. At our skilled human capability of 100.5%, over that hour your expected return is $402 (1.005 X $400 = $402). Thus, your expected return (or win) is $2 per hour. Don’t quit your day job!
Example 2. This time you’re playing $1 deuces wild with skilled human strategy, but you’re playing fast (600 hands per hour). Betting $5 per hand, you’re putting $3,000 through the machine per hour. Now your .5% positive expected return produces $3,015; over the long term you’ll take in $15 per hour. That’s like a $30,000-a-year paycheck.

A Closer Look at Negative Expectation

The flip side of positive expectation is, logically enough, negative expectation. An under 100% machine” is a machine that pays back less than you put in. Let’s say you find a 25 deuces wild machine that has only one change in the pay table from the full- pay deuces schedule. A key changeit pays only four coins for four-of-a-kind instead of five. That’s just one tiny alteration, but it gives the house a whopping 5.7% edge. This means that you’re playing a game that returns only 94.3%. Now if you play a slow 320 hands per hour, you’re losing $22.80 per hour (.057 X $400)and that’s on a 25 machine.
Does the $2-per-hour profit from full-pay deuces look better to you now? And does the $22.80-per- hour loss convince you to read pay tables carefully? The main reason for all the new video poker variations is that casino know there are a lot of players with a little bit of video poker knowledge. Many people now know that full-pay jacks or better and deuces wild are good games, but they’re not real careful about reading the pay tables to make sure that full-pay is what they’re playing. Point them toward any jacks or better or deuces machine and they assume it pays liberally. The casinos, of course, make sure that they aren’t: Play this game. It’s almost like the other one that pays a lot more.”
This occasionally backfires on a casino when it monkeys with a pay schedule of a well-known machine and the changes result in a larger payback percentage. If you become a true student of the game, you’ll be able to spot these situations, know what changes to make in the strategy, and take advantage to make a lot of money on these machines, until the casino wises up and fixes the schedule or removes the machines entirely.

Jacks or Better

Jacks or better is the basic video poker game. One of the first to come out, it’s considered something of a video poker standard. The full-pay version is known as 9/6 jacks or better, meaning the payback (with one coin in) for a full house is 9 coins and for a flush is 6 coins. Sad to say, there are not a lot of them outside of Las Vegas. Full-pay jacks or better has a return percentage of 99.5%. It’s not a positive game; as we’ve seen, the casino has a .5% advantage. But because it’s readily available in Vegas and a lot of other video poker variations are derived from it, I also consider it the standard. Often you get enough cash back from the slot club or a promotion to make jacks or better an over 100% game.The first chart is what the pay table for a 9/6 jacks or better video poker machine looks like. The second is also a jacks or better pay table, but with a crib- cal difference: it’s an 8/5 machine. Note the difference in the payouts for full house and flush; this lowers the return to 97.3%.
As I mentioned earlier, I’m not going to provide you with the strategies, which are readily available in any number of books and computer software programs. See the Appendix for recommendations.

Casino Gambling

Casino gambling can be fun and exciting. At the same time expensive. Dependent on how much you are willing to gamble. It is important to keep in mind your specified budget. As it is very easy to get carried away when you are in the casino, you have to take care that the next thing you know, you haven’t gambled everything away and now you are down to your last penny. Before you get to this scenario, stop, think and walk away or quit casino gambling.

The first rule in casino gambling is to know the game. Casino gambling can be difficult if you are not sure about the rules of a game. For instance, if you want to play baccarat but don’t know exactly what baccarat means it is better to stand back, watch and learn the game first before you try your luck. Another golden rule that you should observe in casino gambling is to not gamble more than you can afford. Always know how much you can spend before you step foot in a casino and don’t risk any more than that.

Do not indulge in casino gambling with the aim to get rich. If you do, you will only be disappointed. And you may lose more money than you care to. Casino gambling should be for fun and entertainment. In casino gambling you should not hand a dealer the loose change. Willingly you place it in the table. If you find that your dealer is rude, then leave the table and play elsewhere. You should not put up with bad service. You can avail yourself of free casino gambling lessons. You could try casino gambling in the morning when there are less people in the casino. You could try casino gambling in the morning when there are lesser people in the casino. This way the dealer could offer you assistance when you are new to the game. In casino gambling you should not up your stakes to cover your losses. You may lose big time if you do. You can up your stakes when you are winning so you use the casino’s money instead of your own.

There are strategies you can use that can reduce the house’s edge but you can never beat the house. Another to watch out in casino gambling is the game called keno. This may be a simple game but the odds are always in favor of the house. If you are new to casino gambling, you should look for a casino that lets you play with lower stakes. This way if you commit mistakes, your losses will be smaller. The posh hotel-casinos located on the Strip in Las Vegas generally have higher minimums compared to those in the downtown area.

Casino gambling is a good way to add some exitement and break the monotony of your life. Casino gambling gives you an opportunity to engage your senses including your mental abilities to focus on the game. Casino gambling can be a good source of entertainment. You should not view casino gambling as a get-rich-quick scheme. But just like any endeavor, it should be taken in moderation. Anything that is done in extremes could be detrimental to the purpose casino gambling is aimed for- which is to provide release of stress and pleasure. Gambling, done in the extreme can become an addiction, so play in moderation and have some fun.

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